We are so back and we are truly so blessed. At least to start, going to be mixing it up by doing the tails angles not covered in other sections (those not covered in other sections— SGPs + matchups have some within them!) + quick hitters and final thoughts (DFS?) Sat night/ Sunday AM. W’e’ll do the Leveraging Tails, Matchups, and SGPs now. As always, time is short and my apologies for any typos.
Matchup Angles:
Over the years, PFF data scientists have conducted extensive studies to better understand and predict player performance. While many of these foundational works continue to shape discussions and influence analysis, the focus here is on identifying how those insights apply to specific weekly matchups and uncovering opportunities the betting market may have overlooked.
Some bets will align with traditional markets, while others will explore more niche options to ensure we leverage the most suitable markets for a given thesis or angle.
Colts QB Daniel Jones has a difficult time against the Miami Dolphins‘ pass rush
One of PFF’s key areas of research has been demonstrating that not all pressure is created equal. A pressure that arrives before a quarterback can work through his progressions is far more damaging to the offense than one that comes as a late hit as the passer holds onto the ball until the very last second.
For Daniel Jones, the most damaging pressure is the kind that disrupts his ability to get through progressions. And in 2024, no quarterback in the league performed worse in those situations.
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