Week 10 Betting Gameplan

Tails & Matchup Angles + SGPs

It does feel weird to be coming into the inbox on a Saturday night, but after enough requests + daylight savings time having me online earlier Sat night we are going to roll with it. As usual, in this note we’ll cover some tails angles (those not covered in other sections— SGPs + matchups have some within them!) some matchups the market is perhaps overlooking and mispricing, and we’ll hit on some SGPs. I will try and keep these as short and succinct as possible and apologies for any typos.

CAR:

• Oh boy does it feel ugly but thankfully we’re betting on a longshot tail here. And ofc feeling ugly does not mean there isn’t potential value. It is a small sample, but Bryce Young has been a far different QB in the last two weeks than his first two. Is it likely he sucks? Yes. Is it also possible he can put together a roughly NFL average game en route to a win against a shaky team? Also yes. And the latter can pay us handsomely— but let’s get into some of the data here.