Week 6 Betting Gameplan

Tails & Matchup Angles + SGPs

To the many of our new readers— welcome! In this note we’ll cover some tails angles (those not covered in other sections), some matchups the market is perhaps overlooking and mispricing and some SGPs. I will try and keep these as short and succinct as possible and apologies for any typos— this is the cost of having to write these quick, especially with a London game on our hands.

Tails Angles:

CHI:

• Apologies for the tight timing here considering kickoff is soon, but my full case for the Bears can be accessed here.

ARI:

• Virtually any production metric would show that these two teams are performing at about an even clip so far this season and the Cardinals have the edge if only including games that Jordan Love has played. But our goal here is not to look at a small sample of production and declare that dispositive for our bet placement. Rather, it provides a solid frame that if the teams are as good as their production so far, then this game is mispriced and certainly so on the tails.