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Welcome to
, written by football analyst and sports bettor Judah Fortgang. You may know me (Judah) as an “SGP guy” who was in line to win $30,000 on a crazy same-game parlay in January 2023, but lost it when Daniel Jones kneeled down to seal a win – only to win $50,000 on an even bigger moonshot the next night.Throwthedamball brings you behind the scenes of putting SGPs like those together. It’s where I write out my process and all the content that goes into it, from football analytics to betting strategy and philosophy. If you follow along, you’ll see how I identify tail outcomes that other market-makers and bettors might be missing or mispricing. And I will show you that there’s something bigger and more exciting going on than occasional moonshot bets: There’s a process to analyzing variance, risk and return and beating the odds.
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