Thinking Through Time To Throw & ADOT

I posted this aDOT vs TTT graph last week without commentary, and it blew up. Reading through the comments, I saw a wide variety of interpretations and figured I’d walk through my process in how I approach data like this.

My goal, as always, is to help the regular football fan and bettor become more engaged in the sport through understanding the data and intricacies underlying the game. In doing so, we will enjoy the game we know and love more, while hopefully making good money in the process.

Let’s take this graph as an example.